Sunday, August 27, 2023

Pursuit of Perfection: The Two Traits that Lead to Mastery

Throughout sports history, a select group of athletes ascends beyond the realm of excellence, imprinting their names as legends. Whether in MMA octagons, grass fields, or on basketball courts, these individuals forge their legacy not through mere talent, but by embracing an unwavering pursuit of perfection. Their driving force? A harmonious blend of uncompromising high standards and an unrelenting obsession with their craft. 

"Perfection" isn't an abstract ideal for these people; it's the bedrock of their unwavering commitment. Think about the iconic quote from the movie "Remember the Titans" – "We will be perfect." This ethos encapsulates the mentality that distinguishes the remarkable from the merely good. Consider the extraordinary journey of George St. Pierre (GSP), who sculpted his path to mastery with an unyielding devotion to his craft and who became the first person in UFC history to win the championship at two weight classes. GSP's dedication to a skill his coach John Danaher called "Shoot boxing,"separated him from everyone else in the UFC. This technique involved employing boxing skills to artfully set up takedowns, a strategy that catapulted him to the pinnacle of MMA. GSP's relentless repetition of this technique during training sessions, combined with his exhaustive analysis of opponents' movements, enabled him to refine it to perfection. His painstaking dedication to this approach made him the undisputed best in the world at the time, underscoring how high standards drive athletes to innovate and redefine their fields.

Likewise, delve into the saga of Kobe Bryant, whose iconic jab step and footwork were no mere product of natural talent. They were born from tireless practice and an unwavering commitment to excellence. Kobe's legendary work ethic was exemplified by his pre-dawn gym sessions, where he would sweat profusely long before anyone else arrived. These sessions became the crucible of his greatness, setting an example for teammates and rivals alike. Kobe's competitive fire extended to a unique tactic: if he saw someone else entering the gym for a workout, he deliberately extended his own workout, making it clear that no one could outwork him. These actions spoke volumes about his standards and obsession with his craft, fueling his journey from basketball player to basketball legend.

The blend of high standards and unyielding obsession isn't some chance thing; it's what drives these athletes to the top of their game. Their super strict standards are like the strong base where their all-consuming obsession takes root. Imagine their standards as the blueprint that their obsession carefully fills in. But here's the big deal: achieving and keeping such high standards needs an obsession that's not just about working hard—it's a fierce drive that's almost like a deep belief. This strong drive becomes their anchor when things get tough, pushing them to do well even when they're hurt, facing problems, or not able to play.

This focus isn't just about the physical part of their sport. Beyond all the attention, these athletes are driven by a huge thirst to know everything about what they do. They look at game videos super closely, study how their opponents play, and really get into the details of new techniques. Take Michael Jordan, for example. He was crazy about being perfect in basketball. Even while he was making "Space Jam," he'd film all day and then follow his obsession by playing super intense pick-up basketball games till really late at night. He didn't just raise his own game—he set a super high standard for his teammates too, making them want to be amazing too. This shows how high standards are like the solid ground that makes obsession grow.

And this focus goes beyond just themselves. These athletes always want to learn and get better. They love getting info like Michael Jordan, who was always hungry for success. He'd watch how his opponents played, learn their strengths and weaknesses, and use that to his advantage. This shows how being obsessed with mastering every part of the game can change a good player into a truly special one.

In simple words, these athletes follow what Kobe Bryant said, "Embrace failure. Failure isn't the end result; it's the way to get there." They don't get stuck when things go wrong; instead, they learn from it. This shows how their obsession is all about handling failures as a big part of their journey. They use it to learn, get better, and change. Their obsession isn't just about wanting success; it's like a fire that turns hard work, tears, and tough times into the energy that drives them to be the best.

It's worth noting that the impact of these athletes isn't confined to their respective fields alone. Their unyielding standards and unwavering obsession create ripples that extend far beyond the court, ring, or pitch. Their legacy isn't just about records and victories; it's about setting a bar that others aspire to reach. Consider the resonance of Kobe Bryant's "Mamba Mentality." This approach to life, rooted in his high standards and obsession with excellence, transcended basketball. It became a mindset that people across diverse pursuits embraced, recognizing that to achieve greatness, they needed to adopt the same unwavering commitment.


These athletes, whether it's Michael Jordan's indomitable work ethic or George St. Pierre's unmatched technique, leave a trail that future generations follow. The impact of their standards and obsession creates a roadmap for those who dare to dream beyond the ordinary. This legacy is a living testament that greatness isn't limited to innate talent but is a product of the relentless pursuit of high standards and an unwavering obsession with improvement.

In the world of sports and our daily lives, those who truly shine are distinguished by their commitment to high standards and their unwavering passion for what they do. The athletes we've explored – such as Kobe Bryant, Michael Jordan, and George St. Pierre – illustrate that greatness isn't solely the result of inherent talent; it's forged by combining that talent with unwavering standards and a deep devotion to improvement.

This powerful combo acts is the secret to achieving exceptional results. Through hard work, determination, and an unrelenting drive to get better, these athletes overcome challenges and setbacks. Their journey teaches us that high standards act like guiding stars during tough times, while their obsession fuels them like the wind propelling a sail.

Their story goes beyond just winning trophies. It's about how their extraordinary dedication inspires us to strive for our best. They remind us that whether we're on the court, at work, or engaged in our daily endeavors, setting high standards and cultivating an unwavering desire to improve are the magic ingredients that elevate us beyond the ordinary. As we draw inspiration from these role models, let's remember that achieving greatness is within our grasp – all it takes is dedicated effort and a genuine passion for what we do.

Friday, August 25, 2023

Sports Betting Breakdown

 


Framber Valdez o5.5Ks, 1u @ +112 Fanduel: Our model predicts Framber Valdez to have over 6Ks so we love the value we're getting here with the + odds.  Valdez also typically goes deep in games, averaging over 6 innings a start giving him plenty of strikeout opportunities against the Tigers who strike out a good amount.

Framber Valdez o18.5O, 1u @ +110 DK: As mentioned above, Valdez goes deep into starts averaging over 6.1 innings per start on the year.  If Valdez hits his average today this should be a nice cash, especially with the + odds.  In his last 4 starts, he's gone 5IP (miss), 7.2IP, 7IP, 9IP (No Hitter) which is why we love this play today.

Zach Eflin u6.5Ks, 1u @ -148 Fanduel:  Our model predicts Eflin at having 5.5 K's today, so we'll gladly take the added extra K from Fanduel.  This line was down to 5.5 on DK so move quickly to get these odds! Eflin has also only covered this over in 1 of his last 5 starts giving us another reason to like this play.

Gerrit Cole, u7.5Ks, 1u @ -150 Fanduel:  Cole has been a great pitcher this year but hasn't been striking people out at the rate we're accustomed to seeing from him.  Our Model predicts that he should have 6 strikeouts today so like with Eflin, we'll gladly take the extra K from Fanduel. Cole also has only hit the over 7.5Ks once in his past 5 starts giving us another reason to like this play.

Lance Lynn o16.5O, 1u @ -125 DK:  Lynn has been a totally different pitcher on the Dodgers (in a good way) but the one thing that has been consistent is that he's a workhorse.  Lynn has averaged 5.2 innings this season and if he hits his average that would cash this play.  Additionally, since joining the Dodgers he's gone 6+ innings in 3 of his 4 starts.

Dylan Cease u7.5Ks, 1u @ +115 DK:  When I first saw this line I thought it was a mistake as Cease, who does have elite strikeout stuff, has struggled with control this season and getting deep in games.  Our Model predicts Cease to have 6 strikeouts so again we love the value of this play with the + odds.  Cease has only hit o7.5Ks in 1 of his last 5 starts as well.

Brandon Woodruff u6.5Ks, 1u @ -128 Fanduel: Our model predicts Woodruff to have about 5Ks today against the disappointing Padres. Woodruff has only made 5 starts this year and has yet to crack 100 pitches, so if the Padres can work some walks and up his pitch count they can chase him early as well.

Brandon Pfaadt u6.Ks, 1u @ -118 Fanduel: Another pick from our strikeout model, which predicts Pfaadt to have 5Ks vs. the Reds today.  Pfaadt has only hit the over for this line twice in his last 5 starts and we're looking for the Reds to continue this trend by getting on base and putting extra pressure on Pfaadt.

Logan Webb o4.5Ks, 1u @ -165 DK: Logan's strikeout over is back on the slate! Our model predicts Logan to have just under 6 strikeouts today against the Braves so we love that we're getting this line at 4.5. Logan has also had at least 5 strikeouts in his last 4 starts, including his last start which was against the Braves.

Orioles/Astros ML, 1u @ +133 DK:  We had to throw in one of our bankroll-building parlays.  We love the Orioles taking on the Rockies today, who have Kyle Freeland and his terrible ERA on the mound.  Meanwhile, the Astros have their ace on the mound vs the Tigers and both these teams should win their games as they're world series contenders and have much better Rosters and Starting Pitchers than their opponents.

Monday, August 21, 2023

Sports Betting Breakdown 8.21.23

 


Braves + Mariners ML, 1u @ +129 DK:  The Braves are taking on the Mets with a rookie pitcher who's been impressive in limited work while the Mets are starting David Peterson and his ERA north of 5 runs.  The Braves also seem to still get excited to beat the Mets whenever given the opportunity despite the Mets being a rebuilding team.  The Mariners have their Ace Luis Castillo who's looking to bounce back after giving up 9 hits to the last place Royals last time out. Luis Castillo should give the White Sox fits with his hard sinker in and change up/slider away that is deadly to righties.  

Jordon Montgomery o4.5Ks, 1u @ -115 DK:  Montgomery takes on the Diamondbacks as the Rangers look to end their skid.  Our model predicts Montgomery to have over 5ks today and Gumby has had over 5+ Ks in his last three outings.  The Diamondbacks also feature a lot of lefties that Montgomery can attack with his featured curveball.

Lucas Giolito u6.5ks, 1u @ +115 DK: Giolito has been up and down for the Angels after they gave up a lot to rent him from the White Sox.  Our model predicts Giolito to get 6 strikeouts and we believe the Reds can chase Giolito from the game early. Giolito has gone under this mark in 3 of the last 4 games and we're hoping this trend continues today!

Reds ML, 1u @ +108 Fanduel:  We like the Reds vs. the Angels today for a couple of reasons.  The first is Reds starter Graham Ashcraft has been extremely good over his past 4 starts, going at least 6 innings in all of them.  Second, the Reds' offense is full of young, electric players that will put pressure on the Angels' defense and can give Giolito issues with stolen bases.

Sunday, August 20, 2023

Sports Betting Breakdown 8.20.23

 


Carlos Carrasco o1.5BBs, 1u @ -115 DK:  Carrasco has been underwhelming throughout his Met career.  Our model is predicting him to have 2+ walks today and he's hit this line in his last 2 starts and 3 of his last 5.  St. Louis also has a top 10 walk rate in the league and will take the walks when given the opportunity.

Max Scherzer o16.5O, 1u @ +100 DK: In his three starts with the Rangers Scherzer has gone 6, 7, and 7 innings.  In his first start, he struggled early in the game before settling down and battling his way to a quality start.  The Rangers need a win today and Scherzer is the best pitcher on this team, look for them to let him go as far as he can today.

Adrien Houser o3.5ks, 1u @ -122 Fanduel:  Our model predicts Houser to have about 4.5ks today vs. the Rangers.  We also noted that both Brandon Woodruff and Freddy Peralta had 4+ K's in their starts against the Rangers in this series.

NRFI Rangers/Brewers, 1u @ -102 Fanduel: We're back on the NRFI grind!  We like the NRFI in the Rangers/Brewers game today, as Houser has given up 0 runs in the first inning in 4 of the last 5 starts, including games against the Dodgers and Braves.  Scherzer hasn't allowed a first-inning run in his last two starts and has allowed just 1 ER over his last 19 innings.

JP Sears u17.5O, 1u @ +100 DK:  On the year JP Sears is averaging 5.1 innings per start.  Sears also hasn't gone 6+ innings in any of his last 5 starts.  Additionally, the Orioles have a very strong offense and could chase Sears early in this game.

Zach Wheeler u6.5ks, 1u @ -130 Fanduel:  Our model predicts Zack Wheeler to have around 5.6Ks so we like the value of this play.  Additionally, Wheeler has had under 6.5ks in his last three starts and the Nationals are one of the best teams at putting the ball in play.

Orioles + Phillies ML, 1u @ +118 DK: We've rocked with the Orioles ML the past two days and are continuing this today, as they have their workhorse Kyle Bradish on the mound vs. the struggling A's and JP sears. The Phillies are taking on the Nationals on SNB with ace Zach Wheeler on the mound vs. Trevor Williams of the Nationals, who has struggled as of late.

Saturday, August 19, 2023

Spots Betting Breakdown 8.19.23

Framber Valdez o18.5O, 1u @ +135 Draftkings:  Valdez takes the mound for the Astros today and all we need him to do is get one out to start the 7th inning. Valdez is averaging 6.5 innings a start this year and with the Astros turning to a 6-man rotation Dusty Baker isn't afraid to let his pitchers throw 100+ pitches every time out there.  He also came into the season as the Astros ace and has thrown two complete games this season already so Dusty should have extreme confidence in him to give him length and work his way out of dangerous situations.

Miles Mikolas o3.5ks, 1u @ -155 Draftkings:  Our strikeout model has identified some value with this pick, expecting Mikolas to have 4.5ks.  This line is already up to 4.5ks on some other sports betting markets (Fanduel) so move quickly to get this value.  

Logan Webb o4.5ks, 1u @ -135 Draftkings:  Logan Webb is taking on the World Series favorites and best lineup in baseball today, but our model is predicting him to have about 5.5Ks today.  Logan Webb also typically goes deep in games so hopefully he can get deep into the game and cash this prop early.

Logan Webb o17.5O, 1u @ -145 Draftkings:  As mentioned above, Logan Webb typically goes deep in games.  Gabe Kepler likes to let his workhorse take him through the 6th inning and into the 7th, as Webb averages over 6.5 innings a start this year.

Orioles + Cubs ML, 1u @ +142 Draftkings:  We'll probably be picking the Orioles ML every day this weekend, as they're a legit World Series contender and the A's are a glorified minor league team.  Meanwhile, the Cubs in the thick of the playoff race need to win the next two games for the Royals and have their best pitcher Justin Steele on the mound for them today.  

Friday, August 18, 2023

Sports Betting Breakdown 8.16.23

 

Taillon u17.5 Outs, 1u @ +105 DK:  Taillon takes on the Royals who have quietly been playing good ball since the all-star break. The Royals just hit around Luis Castillo and George Kirby the past two days who have been much better pitchers than Taillon this season.  Taillon's struggled to go deep in games averaging under 5 innings a start on the year making this a great value at + Odds

Gavin Williams u7.5Ks, 1u @ -145 DK:We're going off our model for this pick.  Our model predicts that Gavin Williams should have 5.5Ks today so we'll glady take the extra two that DK is giving us.  This line will probably continue to drop quickly as when we researched this bet Fanduel already had his line down to 6.5ks

Andrew Heaney o1.5BBs, 1u @ -180 DK:  Heaney's been having control issues recently and we're predicting Heaney to have 2BBs today based off the walks model we're developing.  Heaney's also had 2, 2, 0, 3, and 3 walks in his last 5 starts.

NRFI Pirates/Twins, 1u @ +100 Fanduel:  Andre Jackson didn't allow a run in his last start vs. the Reds, who have a much stronger top-of-the-lineup than the Twins.  Meanwhile, the Twins have their ace Pablo Lopez on the bump against a Pirates lineup that has come back down to earth.  As long as Lopez avoids giving up a homer he should have no issues getting through the top of the lineup unscathed.

JP France o4.5ks, 1u @ -145 DK: Our model is predicting JP France to have 5.5Ks so we're taking the value here.  The Mariners offense has also had some strikeout issues in this past series vs. the Royals this week.  This line was already up to 5.5 on Fanduel so move quickly on this one!

JP France o1.5BBs, 1u @ -120 DK:  This is another pick from the BBs model we're developing.  JP France is predicted to walk just over 2 batters this game and he's hit this over in 3 of his last 5 games

Tyler Anderson o1.5BBs, 1u @ -125 DK: Anderson has hit the over on this in 3 of his last 5 appearances.  Our BBs model is predicting him to land just over 2BBs today as well.

Braves/Orioles ML, 1u @ +119 DK:  Obviously we had to throw a little bank roller builder Parlay. We love the Braves' matchup with ace Spencer Strider on the mound vs. Alex Cobb and the Giants. The Braves offense is quietly one of the best ever and they should be able to take score multiple runs against Alex Cobb, who has allowed at least one homer in 4 of his last 5 starts.  The Orioles have their workhorse Kyle Gibson on the mound vs. the A's Luis Medina, who is a AAA pitcher getting run at the Major League Level.  This isn't the same old O's anymore and they should take care of the A's handedly this weekend.

Wednesday, August 16, 2023

Sports Betting Breakdown 8.16.23

 

Noah Syndergaard u4.5ks, 1u @ -110 BetMGM:  Syndy takes on the Reds today and hasn't been a strikeout pitcher in years.  Syndy also is only averaging under 5 innings a start on the year between his time in LA and Cleveland.  Even if Syndy strikes out 1 hitter an inning (which would be a much higher rate than his 5.7K/9 on the year), he would have to go deeper in the game than he averages on the year.

Astros ML, 1u @ -124 Fanduel:  The Marlins offense has quietly woken up recently.  Scoring 5+ runs in the last three games.  However, they're facing future first ballot hall of famer, and still dominate Justin Verlander today while they're pitching Jesus Luzardo, who has allowed 7, 4, and 4 ER in his last three starts.   

Pirates F5 +0.5, 1u @ -135 Draftkings:  The Pirates are kicking off our slate today, playing at 1pm ET.  They have Johan Oviedo on the bump vs. the Mets and Tylor Megill.  Megill is rocking a 5.64 ERA and has allowed 5, 5, and 4 ER in his past four starts, with the longest lasting 5.1 innings. Oviedo on the other hand has been solid for the Pirates this year, and despite a rocky start last time out has pitched to a 4.42 ERA on the year.  We love the value of this since a tie after 5 would cash this bet


Dodgers/Mariners ML, 1u @ +116 Draftkings: Both these teams are playing teams that have far less talent on both sides of the ball.  The Mariners take on the Royals whose starter is making his first career start, while the Dodgers take on the Brewers and journeyman Wade Miley.  Both the Dodgers and Mariners have their aces on the mound in Clayton Kershaw and Luis Castillo respectively which is why we're loving this play.


Rangers/Braves ML, 1u @ +122 Draftkings.  Like the previous parlay, both these teams are facing an inferior team.  The Rangers, on the midst of a 12-2 run are taking on the reeling Angels, who have Reid Detmers and has 5+ ERA starting.  Meanwhile, the Braves are looking to sweep the Yankees, and have high spin righty Charlie Morton starting for them vs. the rookie Randy Vasquez for the Yankees.  Morton is the exact pitcher the Yankees struggle against.

Super Bowl Betting Breakdown

Mood when the Super Bowl Parlay Hits I released these plays yesterday as part of my Super Bowl Preview and Picks , but I've added two mo...