Monday, August 21, 2023

Sports Betting Breakdown 8.21.23

 


Braves + Mariners ML, 1u @ +129 DK:  The Braves are taking on the Mets with a rookie pitcher who's been impressive in limited work while the Mets are starting David Peterson and his ERA north of 5 runs.  The Braves also seem to still get excited to beat the Mets whenever given the opportunity despite the Mets being a rebuilding team.  The Mariners have their Ace Luis Castillo who's looking to bounce back after giving up 9 hits to the last place Royals last time out. Luis Castillo should give the White Sox fits with his hard sinker in and change up/slider away that is deadly to righties.  

Jordon Montgomery o4.5Ks, 1u @ -115 DK:  Montgomery takes on the Diamondbacks as the Rangers look to end their skid.  Our model predicts Montgomery to have over 5ks today and Gumby has had over 5+ Ks in his last three outings.  The Diamondbacks also feature a lot of lefties that Montgomery can attack with his featured curveball.

Lucas Giolito u6.5ks, 1u @ +115 DK: Giolito has been up and down for the Angels after they gave up a lot to rent him from the White Sox.  Our model predicts Giolito to get 6 strikeouts and we believe the Reds can chase Giolito from the game early. Giolito has gone under this mark in 3 of the last 4 games and we're hoping this trend continues today!

Reds ML, 1u @ +108 Fanduel:  We like the Reds vs. the Angels today for a couple of reasons.  The first is Reds starter Graham Ashcraft has been extremely good over his past 4 starts, going at least 6 innings in all of them.  Second, the Reds' offense is full of young, electric players that will put pressure on the Angels' defense and can give Giolito issues with stolen bases.

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