We're back after a 3-2 day with a slate with a lot more props we like today. The goal is to just keep stacking positive days and we're back at it again today. The first game starts at 12:20 EST so we're ready to do nothing but watch these bets hit.
Aaron Nola o5.5HA, 1u @ -120 DraftKings: Nola has been disappointing for the Phillies this year and has been bad as of late. In his past 3 starts against the Cardinals, Marlins, and Brewers, Nola couldn't get through five innings and allowed 7, 7, and 8 hits in each of those starts respectively. Nola's assignment today is even tougher as he takes on a historically good lineup in the Atlanta Braves and we're looking for them to attack Nola early and cash this play quickly.
Josiah Gray o15.5O, 1u @ +110 DraftKings: Josiah Gray, one of the centerpieces of the Trea Turner and Max Scherzer trade, has had some growing pains in the MLB where he looks like a top-of-the-line starter in some starts and struggles in others. We're counting on him to dominate the Chicago White Sox today, given they're a righty-heavy lineup that somehow has more issues in the clubhouse than their lack of talent on the field. It is also in the National's best interest to let Gray try to work his way out of jams against a bad team. The key for Gray to cover today is to avoid walks and attack the White Sox's below-average hitters.
Nationals ML, 1u @ -125 BetMGM: The Nationals have quietly been a fun team this year and they have some intriguing pieces that can turn out to be valuable contributors in the future. We talked about Josiah Gray above and we favor him in the pitching matchup today, as the Nationals are facing ex-top prospect Michael Kopech who has elite stuff but has suffered from control issues this season and was just relegated to the bullpen his past three appearances. Kopech wasn't better from the bullpen and the Nationals are a team that can capitalize on the free passes that Kopech gives out.
George Kirby o17.5O, 1u @ -120 BetMGM: Kirby has hit this line in his last 2 starts and 3 of his last 5. Kirby has elite control and minimizes walks which helps keep his pitch count down. Additionally, he's facing the Oakland AAs today and should dominate this lineup en route to covering this line and a Mariners W.
Kodai Senga u4.5HA, 1u @ +120 DraftKings: Senga has been pitching better and better as the season has progressed and dominated his last 5 starts. Senga has also covered this line in 4 of his last 5 and we're looking for him to utilize his Ghost Fork to deal with the pesky Marlins hitters. It also helps that Marlins star contact hitter, Luis Arraez, hurt his ankle steeping on a baseball yesterday and might not play today.
Mitch Keller o17.5O, 1u @ -120 DraftKings: Keller has been a workhorse for the Pirates this year and is averaging over 6 IP per start. Keller has also covered this line in 4 of his last 5 starts, with the only start he didn't cover being a start against the Braves. One of these starts includes an 8-inning masterclass against the Cubs, the team he's facing today.
Dodgers + Mariners ML, 1u @ +103 DraftKings: We mentioned the Mariners starting one of the most reliable starters in the Majors, George Kirby, against the Athletics who would be happy if they won one game the rest of the season. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are starting promising rookie Bobby Miller against the Tigers, who are starting struggling pitcher Reese Olson. Both the Dodgers and Mariners should easily beat these teams given the difference in talent but also their starting pitching advantage.
Padres + Rays ML, 1u @ -102 DraftKings: The Padres are looking to finish the sweep of the last-place Rockies, as they start Seth Lugo vs. the Rockies Chase Anderson. Anderson has pitched to a 6.43 ERA for the Rockies over 15 starts and despite their disappointing offensive season, the Padres should be able to put up runs early against him. Meanwhile, the Rays are starting Aaron Civale, who has been incredibly tough to hit at the Trop as they face another Angel lefty in Reid Detmers. The Rays are a team that kills lefty pitchers and they should chase Detmers early today.
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