We're back! We had a great weekend in CFB and not as great in the NFL! Let's get back to it today with three MLB plays and one NFL play for each game.
MLB Bets
Edward Cabrera u5.5Ks, 1u @ +102 Fanduel: I know we just put the Mets on tier 2 of the do not bet list but this is about Cabrera and not them! Cabrera has legitimate control issues and the Marlins are very conscious of the amount of innings their young starters are throwing. Edward Cabrera has already surpassed last year's innings total by 14 and counting hasn't gone over 5 innings in any of his last 5 starts. Lastly, he has only hit the over in 1 of his last 4 starts so given the above we are tentatively making an exception to bet this today.
Jordan Montgomery o15.5O, 1u @ +131 Draftkings: Montgomery has hit this over in 4 of his last 5 starts and has navigated some tough lineups in the process. Monty has also had plenty of experience pitching against the Red Sox given he came up in the Yankees system and he should know how to induce soft contact from the Red Sox hitters. The Red Sox have also been reeling recently and just were swept by the Blue Jays over the weekend and now are flying from Canada to Texas to take on the Rangers, who are desperately trying to stay in the playoff picture.
Brewers + Padres ML, 1u @ +120 Draftkings: The Brewers have Freddy Peralta pitching for them who has pitched well as of late. They are taking on the disappointing Cardinals who are starting lifer Adam Wainwright who has been the worst starter in baseball this year. The Brewers have also been playing good baseball this year and are deep in the playoff hunt and need to win games like this. The Padres are starting Michael Wacha who has been solid for them despite coming off a bad start in his last outing. They're taking on the Rockies at home and despite being a disappointment this year, they have played well as of late and should win this one easily.
NFL Bets
Saints -3, 1u @ -115 Draftkings: The Saints visit Carolina to take on the Panthers on one of two MNF games this week. Bluntly, the Saints are a much more talented team and should cover this easily. Their defense is legit and should give first-overall pick Bryce Young plenty of issues like the Falcons were able to do last week. The Panthers are also without their number 1 CB in Jaycee Horn so look for Olave and Derek Carr to get in a rhythm early.
Browns ML, 1u @ +115 Draftkings: The only reason we're not taking the spread is because weird things seem to happen when the Browns travel to Pittsburgh. However, this year the Browns are the more talented team at every position group (with the exception of safety) and should win this game handily.
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