Friday, September 15, 2023

Sports Betting Breakdown 9.15.23


Happy Friday!  Let's build off our 3-1 (+2.57u) day yesterday and start the weekend off strong!  Only MLB bets today and we'll have some CFB mixed in tomorrow!  Props to anyone who bet TJ Hockenson ATTD, Devonta Smith ATTD, and Hurts ATTD yesterday as those were pretty sweat-free.  Let's go over our plays today!

Johnny Cueto o5.5HA, .5u @ +105 Draftkings:  Cueto and the Marlins take on the best team in baseball tonight in the Atlanta Braves.  Cueto has averaged giving up about 5 hits a start this year and given how historically great this Braves offense is, we like the value of getting this line at + odds.  

Johnny Cueto o2.5ER, 1u @ -140 Draftkings: As mentioned above, Cueto is taking on a historic offense in the Braves tonight.  Cueto has also hit this line in 7 of his 9 games this season and in each of his last 6 starts.  Let's look for the Braves to jump to an early lead and get our first two props out of the way sweat-free.

Yankees ML, 2u @ -114 Drafkings (boosted):  The Yankees take on the Pirates in Pittsburgh tonight, as ace Gerrit Cole visits the team that drafted him and where he started his career. Cole has been spectacular all season and will likely be a unanimous Cy Young winner (his first in his career).  Even with Dominguez out the Yankees took 3 of 4 from their rival Red Sox.  Meanwhile, the Pirates are starting Johan Oviedo who has been solid for them this season but lacks the velocity to give the Yankees right-handed hitters issues. Oviedo has also struggled recently, being unable to go through 4 innings in each of his last two starts.

Logan Webb o17.5O, 1u @ -110 Draftkings: Logan Webb, the ace and workhorse for the Giants visits the Rockies in Coors field.  Luckily, Webb is a sinkerballer and the high altitude shouldn't really affect him too much, as he pitches to soft contact and ground balls.  Webb also averages over 6IP a start this season and has covered this line in 4 of his last 5 starts.  The Rockies' offense is also one of the worst in the leagues helping our confidence in this play

Logan Webb u6.5HA, 1u @ +100 Draftkings:  We tried to play this line yesterday but unfortunately the weather had other plans.  Webb has pitched well against the Rockies in his last start, and we have no reason to believe that will be different today.

Cubs ML, 1u @ -132 Fanduel:  The Cubs travel to Arizona to take on the Diamondbacks.  Despite still being in the postseason race, the Diamondbacks have been very inconsistent in the second half of the season.  Meanwhile, the Cubs are starting their ace and probable NL Cy Young runner-up, Justin Steele, who recently dominated this Diamondbacks lineup

Justin Steele o5.5Ks, 1u @ -122 Fanduel:  As mentioned above, Steele recently dominated the Diamondbacks lineup and his slider is borderline unfair when he throws it against lefties. Steele has also covered this line in each of his last 5 starts and there's no reason to believe that streak ends tonight.

Overall we're betting on good teams or against bad teams today, something we'll be going into more detail in an article dropping later today!

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