We're back-dropping our sports betting breakdowns to explain the logic behind our picks. After the Eagles and Vikings performances on Sunday, it looks like we'll skip an NFL pick today, especially with plenty of key Eagles questionable. There is a no-sweat bet on DraftKings that we'd recommend using on an ATTD scorer such as AJ Brown, Justin Jefferson, TJ Hockenson, etc. Let's get into the MLB plays of the day
Eury Perez o3.5HA, 1u @ -145 DraftKings: Eury Perez has had a very solid rookie season but it is now September and he's pitched more than he ever has in his life. Additionally, the Brewers offense operates on stringing hits together to score runs and could easily cash this prop in one inning. 3.5 is also an extremely low line for a starting pitcher so we just had to jump on this line at this value.
Kodai Senga u4.5HA, 1u @ -105 DraftKings: Kodai Senga has been exceptionable for the Mets this year in his "Rookie" season. In his last 5 starts, he's going at least 6 innings and has allowed 4 or fewer hits in 4 of them. The Diamondbacks have struggled in the second half and we're looking for Kodai Senga and his "Ghost Forkball" to give the Diamondback hitter fits.
Kyle Bradish o17.5O, 1.5u @ -105 DraftKings: Bradish has been the ace for the Orioles this year and has really turned it on as of late, going 6 innings or more in each of his last 5 starts. Additionally, Bradish has only gone less than 6.0 IP once since June 16th, a span of 13 games started.
Jose Urena u3.5Ks, .5u @ +110 DraftKings: This is just a case of fading a bad pitcher. Urena was awful for the Rockies before being picked up by the White Sox and has an ERA of 8.46 and FIP of 9.70 on the season. Look for the Twins to chase Urena early on route to an easy win today. Additionally, in his six starts this season he's only hit the over on this once, against the disappointing Cardinals on April 12th.
Logan Webb u6.5HA, 1u @ +105 DraftKings: The Ace of the Giants takes on the last-place Rockies. Similar to the last pick we're betting on a good pitcher vs. a bad team. Webb's last start was against the Rockies last week, and he only allowed 3 hits over 6 dominant innings. Webb has also hit the under on this line in 2 of his last 3 starts, and 3 of his last 5. One thing that can hurt Webb is that he goes deep in games but if his sinker is on the Rockies should hit a lot of weak ground balls today.
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